Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000670 0.000762 0.000860 0.000971 0.001093 0.001223 0.001372
2025-09-28 0.000515 0.000641 0.000783 0.000956 0.001157 0.001383 0.001656
2025-10-05 0.000451 0.000595 0.000767 0.000983 0.001245 0.001550 0.001930
2025-10-12 0.000398 0.000555 0.000748 0.001000 0.001315 0.001694 0.002177
2025-10-19 0.000346 0.000508 0.000714 0.000991 0.001349 0.001790 0.002365
2025-10-26 0.000303 0.000465 0.000680 0.000979 0.001374 0.001871 0.002534
2025-11-02 0.000274 0.000439 0.000665 0.000987 0.001423 0.001983 0.002742
2025-11-09 0.000246 0.000412 0.000646 0.000988 0.001460 0.002078 0.002930
2025-11-16 0.000213 0.000374 0.000607 0.000956 0.001451 0.002111 0.003035
2025-11-23 0.000186 0.000342 0.000574 0.000932 0.001449 0.002151 0.003149
2025-11-30 0.000168 0.000321 0.000557 0.000928 0.001474 0.002226 0.003312
2025-12-07 0.000153 0.000304 0.000543 0.000927 0.001503 0.002307 0.003482
2025-12-14 0.000137 0.000284 0.000523 0.000917 0.001518 0.002370 0.003631
2025-12-21 0.000122 0.000263 0.000501 0.000901 0.001523 0.002419 0.003761
2025-12-28 0.000116 0.000259 0.000505 0.000927 0.001592 0.002560 0.004023
2026-01-04 0.000109 0.000252 0.000504 0.000943 0.001646 0.002680 0.004259
2026-01-11 0.000098 0.000237 0.000489 0.000935 0.001662 0.002744 0.004414
2026-01-18 0.000088 0.000222 0.000471 0.000923 0.001670 0.002797 0.004553
2026-01-25 0.000082 0.000214 0.000466 0.000931 0.001710 0.002897 0.004763
2026-02-01 0.000075 0.000205 0.000457 0.000932 0.001737 0.002979 0.004948
2026-02-08 0.000065 0.000187 0.000432 0.000902 0.001714 0.002982 0.005014
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000173 0.000411 0.000878 0.001700 0.002998 0.005100
2026-02-22 0.000052 0.000164 0.000401 0.000874 0.001718 0.003064 0.005262